The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 85¢

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?

Macro · resolves Jun 18 · vol $1.5K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 85¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.5pp · No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting? | Orrery