Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on May 18?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 2.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.