The market moved
-30.1ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 26 · vol $145.48
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.1pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.