The market moved
-18.9ppin 24h · now 15¢
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 26 · vol $111.93
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.9pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.