The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 52¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $9.19
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 52¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price of the abbreviated session — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.