Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the august 2026 meeting of the reserve bank of aust — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Aust — https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-meetings/).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.