The market moved

+15.5ppin 24h · now 65¢

Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?

Macro · resolves May 21 · vol $10.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 65¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the non-gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+15.5pp · Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings? | Orrery