The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 10¢
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $864.28
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 10¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on russian government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Russian government.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.