The market moved

+16.5ppin 24h · now 61¢

Map Handicap: Zoun (-1.5) vs GuMiHo (+1.5)

Other · resolves May 21 · vol $72.44

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 61¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 6.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.