The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 59¢

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 59¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of justice announced an indictment against the southern poverty law center — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center — https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.