The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 50¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $8,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on finance.yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: finance.yahoo.com — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.