The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 25¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 25¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price for s&p 500 (spx) on the final trading day of december 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026 — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.