The market moved

+1.5ppin 24h · now 13¢

Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?

Sports · resolves May 22 · vol $2.9K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 13¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 3.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.