The market moved

+12.5ppin 24h · now 24¢

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?

Science · resolves May 22 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 24¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 38.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.