The market moved
-2.0ppin 24h · now 45¢
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
Business · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 45¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on 8-k — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: 8-K — https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.