The market moved
-5.0ppin 24h · now 32¢
UK Recession in 2026?
Macro · resolves Mar 31 · vol $116.28
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the available qualifying data at that time — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the available qualifying data at that time.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.