The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 5¢
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $36.41
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.