The market moved

-7.0ppin 24h · now 23¢

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $151.51

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.