The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 20¢
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 20¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc's vital statistics rapid release series — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series — https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.