The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 45¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Politics · resolves Mar 31 · vol $521.77
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.