The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
AI · resolves Apr 30 · vol $2.1K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 21¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.