The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 20¢

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?

Business · resolves Jan 1 · vol $748.52

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on coingecko — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: CoinGecko — https://www.coingecko.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.5pp · Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? | Orrery