The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 27¢

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · resolves Aug 20 · vol $53.29

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.