The market moved
-3.7ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $249.17
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the pa-03 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 14.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.