The market moved

+0.2ppin 24h · now

Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.2pp · Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Orrery