The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 47¢
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $50.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.