The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.26
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 20¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on scale.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: scale.com — https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.