The market moved

-22.2ppin 24h · now 75¢

Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?

Business · resolves May 20 · vol $1.2K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 75¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.2pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 44.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.