The market moved
-9.5ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will another pair of candidates advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $71.52
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.