The market moved
-17.0ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Ant Middleton not summit Everest by June 30?
Geopolitics · resolves May 30 · vol $113.32
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.