The market moved

-1.7ppin 24h · now

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $707.49

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.7pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.