The market moved
-1.6ppin 24h · now 91¢
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
AI · resolves May 31 · vol $38.82
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 91¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.