The market moved

+11.5ppin 24h · now 62¢

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $9.61

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 62¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.