The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $94.23
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.