The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 16¢

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.