The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 35¢
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.