The market moved
-9.5ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.