Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 24¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) over the 12-month period ending in december 2026 (varia — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Varia — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.