The market moved
-12.7ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?
Macro · resolves Jan 10 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) over the 12-month period ending in december 2026 (varia — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Varia — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.