The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 82¢
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · resolves Jun 28 · vol $80.40
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 82¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.