The market moved

+0.9ppin 24h · now

Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics · resolves Oct 11 · vol $66.66

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 2¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.9pp · Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | Orrery