The market moved

-10.5ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will Bernie say "ICE" 5+ times in Maine?

Other · resolves May 24 · vol $514.10

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on berniesanders.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: berniesanders.com — https://berniesanders.com/oligarchy/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 38.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.