The market moved
-9.5ppin 24h · now 31¢
Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?
Other · resolves May 24 · vol $20.81
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 31¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on berniesanders.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: berniesanders.com — https://berniesanders.com/oligarchy/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 41.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.