The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto · resolves Jan 1 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.1pp · Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | Orrery