The market moved

-5.5ppin 24h · now 89¢

Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?

Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $102.37

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 89¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the pa-07 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 10.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-5.5pp · Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07? | Orrery