The market moved
-1.4ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Brian Montgomery be the Republican nominee for GA-01?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $129.84
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the ga-01 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in th — https://rnc.org/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.