Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.0%?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi) over the 12-month period ending december 2026 according to th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to th — https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.