The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 36¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Sports · resolves Sep 13 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 36¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.usopen.org/index.html).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.