The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Macro · resolves Jan 31 · vol $5.3K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.