The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Civil Miller-Watkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
Politics · resolves Aug 6 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 2¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.